Mackenzie Dern Predicts Quick Submission in First UFC Main Event

Jiu-jitsu ace Mackenzie Dern is tantalizingly close to a shot a the UFC strawweight title. On October 9, Dern will compete in her first-ever UFC main event, when she will take on the no. 6-ranked strawweight Marina Rodriguez. In a recent interview with MMA Junkie, Dern explained the weaknesses she sees in Rodriguez’s game and how she plans to exploit them.

“I think her ground game has a lot to work on,” Dern said. “I’ve seen her do a couple of elbows from the bottom, but more when the girl is just holding her on the ground. But I’ve seen her get up and giving her back, so I can imagine her camp is going to be a lot of takedown defense and maybe getting up using the cage to get up. I think her striking is so dangerous, but the ground has a lot to work on.”

Indeed, Rodriguez has shown to be one of the best strikers in the division. She is currently riding a two-fight win streak that includes a spectacular knockout of fellow strawweight contender Amanda Ribas. Dern, on the other hand, might be the best submission artist in women’s MMA. She is an ADCC champion and IBJJF gi and no-gi world champion.

After starting her UFC tenure on shaky ground after missing weight in her second promotional bout and losing to Ribas in her third, Dern has since put together an impressive four-fight win streak. Three of those wins came by way of first-round submission, and Dern predicts that same outcome against Rodriguez.

“I think it’s going to be a first-round submission again this time,” Dern said. “I definitely think I’ve found my way in MMA, kind of found what works for me. And hey, why would I want to stay too much getting punched in the face, taking all this damage, take more time recovering to get back into training when it’s clear that obviously taking it to the ground (works for me)? The girls are still getting better, the level on the ground, but I need to take advantage. That’s my strength, so I think it’s going to be a first-round submission.”

How to watch: UFC Fight Night: Mackenzie Dern vs. Marina Rodriguez takes place on Saturday, October 9, and will air live on ESPN+ (subscription required).

Ben Coate

Ben has been involved with grappling, whether through wrestling or Brazilian jiu-jitsu, essentially his entire life. After wrestling throughout his childhood, Ben found Brazilian jiu-jitsu as a young adult and quickly fell in love. He has been training for over ten years and currently holds the rank of brown belt, and remains involved in both the MMA and BJJ scene. Ben has been writing about combat sports since 2017. He has interviewed and profiled some of MMA's biggest stars, including multiple UFC champions.

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